It looked like lava and sounded like a freight train. That’s how
locals described
the sea of mud and debris that flowed down the green foothills of
western Colorado’s Grand Mesa on Sunday afternoon, carving a path of
destruction 3 miles long and a half-mile wide. Three men missing from
nearby Collbran are presumed dead; rescue efforts have been halted by
mud that’s up to 250 feet deep; and though the slide occurred in a rural
area away from most homes, it came within 25 feet of a natural gas
drilling pad with three active wells.
“It’s an understatement to say it’s massive,” Mesa County Sheriff Stan Hilkey said in a
press conference
on Monday. For comparison, the mudslide that captured national
attention and killed 43 people in Oso, Washington, in March covered one
square mile. The Mesa County slide was eight times that size, and the
biggest difference appears to have been luck: unlike in Oso, residents
of Collbran simply hadn’t built homes in the path of natural disaster.
The county’s oil and gas wells, however, are a different story.
Though the mud just barely missed a drill pad operated by Occidental
Petroleum Corporation, 16 additional wells sit below the current slide,
and Mesa County isn’t in the clear just yet. Temperatures are expected
to reach 85 degrees Wednesday afternoon, kicking snowmelt into high gear
and
increasing the risk
of another slide. “There’s an unofficial consensus that an additional
slide is likely,” says David Ludlam, executive director of the West
Slope Colorado Oil and Gas Association, an industry trade group.
Lynn Highland, a geographer with the U.S. Geological Survey’s
National Landslide Information Center, agrees that a second slide is a
real possibility. She also underscores what
High Country News contributing editor Judith Lewis-Mernit recently
pointed out: There’s no database of the thousands of
precarious hillsides
looming over homes and infrastructure in the West. The last national
map of landslide risk was released in 1982, and as climate change
increases the frequency of the freak rainfall and rapid snowmelt that
lead to giant mudslides, the map has grown obsolete, Highland says...
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